Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001025 0.001171 0.001319 0.001481 0.001650 0.001823 0.002011
2025-04-13 0.000854 0.001067 0.001291 0.001541 0.001812 0.002094 0.002408
2025-04-20 0.000635 0.000884 0.001158 0.001474 0.001825 0.002198 0.002621
2025-04-27 0.000456 0.000724 0.001032 0.001401 0.001822 0.002277 0.002802
2025-05-04 0.000371 0.000663 0.001012 0.001441 0.001938 0.002485 0.003120
2025-05-11 0.000249 0.000537 0.000903 0.001369 0.001921 0.002538 0.003265
2025-05-18 0.000148 0.000417 0.000788 0.001279 0.001877 0.002556 0.003364
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000344 0.000725 0.001247 0.001895 0.002640 0.003536
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000264 0.000641 0.001182 0.001869 0.002670 0.003643
2025-06-08 0.000015 0.000217 0.000598 0.001164 0.001896 0.002760 0.003817
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.000205 0.000605 0.001213 0.002006 0.002946 0.004100
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000162 0.000558 0.001183 0.002015 0.003011 0.004242
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000133 0.000541 0.001212 0.002120 0.003218 0.004583
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000118 0.000548 0.001277 0.002275 0.003489 0.005003
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000069 0.000476 0.001221 0.002272 0.003569 0.005202
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000031 0.000404 0.001159 0.002256 0.003631 0.005378
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000021 0.000398 0.001198 0.002376 0.003861 0.005754
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000003 0.000332 0.001133 0.002352 0.003909 0.005912
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000263 0.001052 0.002300 0.003920 0.006021
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000227 0.001023 0.002317 0.004016 0.006233
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000180 0.000964 0.002289 0.004052 0.006369
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000155 0.000948 0.002320 0.004163 0.006596
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000159 0.000993 0.002442 0.004392 0.006968